2020 is coming to an end so it is time to put an end to my formula for this year. Several teams have had opt outs, transfers, and NFL declarations therefore changing the baseline talent on several rosters. No surprise for the 2nd year in a row the four playoff teams all have top 10 talent: Alabama (2), Ohio State (3), Clemson (4), and Notre Dame (9). The Big 12 champ was Oklahoma for the 6th time in a row and they also have a top 10 roster at (9). Even the PAC 12 with their wonky schedule had the two most talented teams play each other USC (12) and Oregon (13), with the later winning. Here is my final Team Talent Formula of 2020.
2020 Team Talent Formula
-6 points for the top 10 players per the 247 Composite a rating of (99.50 >)
-5 points for 5 star rated players (98.34 -99.5)
-4 points for players rated (97.5-98.33) in the composite (Top 50 Four star players)
-3 points for players rated 95.5-97.49 (Top 100 Four star players)
-2 points for players rated 92-95.49 (Top 200 Four star players)
-1 point for players rated 89-91.99 (subsequent Four star players)
-0.5 for players rated 87-88.99 (high Three stars, usually a Four star by a least one of the three recruiting services)
-2016 class average per player weighted at 20% + 2017 class average per player weighted at 60% + 2018 class average per player weighted at 80% + 2019 class average per player weighted at 95% + 2020 class average per player full weight)
Add the totals and that equals the baseline talent score
*I use the (2016-2019) 247 sports enrolled rankings for the most accurate roster per class data
*Top 100 player is a player who has a composite rating of 95.50 and above.
1. Georgia 516.1 /16 Five stars & 45 Four stars. (Top 100 Players)-31
2. Alabama 510.4 /12 Five stars & 56 Four stars. (Top 100 players)-29
3. Ohio State 508.6 /14 Five stars & 48 Four stars. (Top 100 players)-30
4. Clemson 459.3 /10 Five stars & 37 Four stars. (Top 100 players)-19
5. Florida 433.8 /4 Five stars & 40 Four stars. (Top 100 players)-15
6. Texas 433.5 /4 Five stars & 49 Four stars. (Top 100 players)-13
7. LSU 433.7. /7 Five stars & 32 Four Stars. (Top 100 players)-16 (four opt out 4+3+3+.5points=10.5)
8. Oklahoma 427.0 /5 Five stars & 45 Four stars. (Top 100 players)-12 (two opt outs 1+2=3)
9. Notre Dame 421.3 /2 Five star & 43 Four stars. (Top 100 players)-14
10. Penn State 419.8 /1 Five & 47 Four stars. (Top 100 players)-14 (one opt out 6)
11. Texas A&M 416.1 /4 Five stars & 37 Four stars. (Top 100 players)-15(three opt out 1 + 2+3+3=9 points)
12. USC 412.4 /4 Five stars & 30 Four stars. (Top 100 players)-13 (two opt out 4+1=5 points)
13. Oregon 407.1/ 4 Five stars & 29 Four stars. (Top 100 players)-12 (four opt outs 3+3+2+1 =9 points)
14. Tennessee 407.0 /5 Five stars & 31 Four stars. (Top 100 players)-13
15. Auburn 403.4 /2 Five stars & 42 Four stars. (Top 100 players)-6 (one opt out -.5)
16. Michigan 398.8 /2 Five stars & 38 Four stars. (Top 100 players)-4 (two opt outs 3 +2= 5 points)
17. Miami 393.9 /1 Five Star & 33 Four stars. (Top 100 players)-10 (two opt outs .5+3=3.5)
18. Florida State 391.1 / 2 Five Stars & 29 Four stars. (Top 100 players)-7
19. Washington 387.6 /1 Five Star & 40 Four stars. (Top 100 players)-5 (4 player opt outs 1+1=2 point)
20. Stanford 379.0 /2 Five stars & 25 Four stars. (Top 100 players)-6 (two opt out= 8 points)
21. South Carolina 370.9 /2 Five stars & 26 Four stars. (Top 100 players)-5
22. North Carolina 357.3 /1 Five stars & 17 Four stars. (Top 100 players)-6
23. Nebraska 355.6 /0 Five Stars & 22 Four stars. (Top 100 players)-2
24. Kentucky 351.1 /0 Five stars & 21 Four stars. (Top 100 player)-4
25. Mississippi State 347.7 /1 Five Star & 17 Four stars. (Top 100 players)-4
The next six out: Arkansas (345.3); Ole Miss (344.7); TCU (344.2); Wisconsin (343.5); Arizona State (341.8); Virginia Tech (332.3)
Tyler Turner is a contributor to The Sports Cast. Tyler covers all things college football: coaching searches, recruiting, etc. I also cover College basketball, Boxing, Tennis, Golf, and NFL.