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Can the Cincinnati Bengals Still Make the Playoffs? Updated Chances, Schedule and Scenarios After Win Over Ravens

Posted on November 28, 2025November 28, 2025 by Santiago Leon

The Cincinnati Bengals kept their season alive with a pivotal 32–14 victory over the Baltimore Ravens. The win not only snapped momentum for a divisional rival, but also breathed life back into Cincinnati’s slim postseason hopes. At 4–8, the Bengals are still in must-win mode, but the win keeps them mathematically—though not comfortably—alive in the AFC playoff race.

Current Playoff Outlook

While the Bengals remain near the bottom of the AFC North standings, their postseason chances are not completely gone. Analytical projections have them at roughly low single-digit odds to reach the playoffs. The most realistic path requires winning all or nearly all of their remaining games while getting help from other AFC contenders.

To stay alive, Cincinnati must:

  • Win all remaining games, especially divisional matchups
  • Outperform the Steelers and Ravens down the stretch
  • Hope competitor teams drop critical games, especially in the wild-card race

The Bengals’ most viable route is through a potential late-season divisional surge rather than a crowded wild-card race.

Why the Win Over Baltimore Matters

This was more than just a regular-season victory. Beating the Ravens:

  • Improved their head-to-head division record
  • Boosted tiebreaker positioning in the AFC North
  • Restored momentum behind a healthier Joe Burrow and an improving offense

A strong performance from Burrow and success on both sides of the ball showcased flashes of the Bengals’ true potential, providing optimism for the remaining schedule.

What Must Happen for a Bengals Playoff Berth

RequirementImpact on Playoff Path
Win Out Remaining GamesA single additional loss could eliminate them
Key AFC North WinsDivision wins carry critical tiebreaker weight
Rival LossesRequires slip-ups from Steelers, Ravens, and other AFC contenders
Burrow’s Best FootballStrong offensive execution is non-negotiable

Even under ideal conditions, Cincinnati would also need help from rivals in other divisions to fall in the standings.

Why Expectations Have Shifted

Earlier in the season, the Bengals held strong playoff projections due to their offensive firepower, experienced roster, and preseason expectations. However, midseason setbacks, injuries, and defensive inconsistencies significantly lowered those odds.

While the win refuels optimism, the playoff picture is still steep and challenging.

Realistic Outlook

The Bengals are still alive in the postseason race—but only barely. Their chances remain long, but not zero. With Joe Burrow back and the team showing signs of cohesion, they have the tools to finish strong, but the margin for error has completely evaporated.

Here is the same playoff-scenario breakdown for the Cincinnati Bengals, with all emojis removed and cleanly formatted:

Cincinnati Bengals Playoff Scenario Breakdown After Win Over Ravens

Following their crucial victory over the Baltimore Ravens, the Cincinnati Bengals remain mathematically alive in the AFC playoff race. With a 4–8 record, their path is narrow, but not completely closed. A strong finish, especially in key divisional matchups, is essential if they hope to keep playoff hopes alive.

Remaining Bengals Schedule

WeekOpponentLocationImportance
14Buffalo BillsAwayStrong AFC contender; tough matchup
15Baltimore RavensHomeMajor division and tiebreaker implications
16Miami DolphinsAwayWinnable momentum game
17Arizona CardinalsHomeOne of their more favorable matchups
18Cleveland BrownsHomeCritical divisional and conference tiebreaker game

The Bengals are currently 4–8 overall with a 3–1 record in the AFC North.

Best-Case Playoff Path

For the Bengals to have any real postseason chance, the most favorable scenario is:

  • Win all five remaining games to finish 9–8
  • Defeat both the Ravens and Browns to improve divisional record to 5–1
  • Gain tiebreaker advantage in AFC North standings
  • Receive help from rival AFC teams losing key games, especially other wild-card contenders

A perfect finish is unlikely, but would place the Bengals in contention for either a division title or a final wild-card spot.

Realistic Path to Contention

If the Bengals cannot win out, their only alternative is:

  • Win at least four of the last five games
  • Must win both divisional games against Ravens and Browns
  • Maximize conference wins, as conference record is a primary tiebreaker
  • Rely on losses from other playoff-contending teams such as the Bills, Steelers, Texans, and Chargers

Even with a 4–1 finish, the Bengals would still need help from other AFC teams. Losing either Week 15 vs. Ravens or Week 18 vs. Browns would severely damage their chances.

Tiebreaker Importance

Key NFL tiebreaker rules that influence the Bengals’ playoff path:

Tiebreaker LevelMeaning
Head-to-headRecord against division rivals and wild-card contenders
Division recordCritical for AFC North title chances
Conference recordDetermines wild-card scenarios
Strength of victory / scheduleApplied only if records remain tied after above

Winning remaining divisional games is more valuable than non-conference victories due to tiebreaker weighting.

Most Likely Outcome

The Bengals are still alive, but their margin for error is extremely limited. They will likely need:

  • At least a 4–1 finish
  • Two divisional wins
  • Significant help from other AFC teams losing crucial games

While possible, it remains a challenging path. The Bengals have created opportunity with their win over the Ravens, but their destiny is only partially in their control.

Related

Related posts:

  1. Was Myles Garrett Overpaid?
  2. Jaguars’ Lawrence: ‘I’m not going to Pittsburgh’
  3. Cowboys All-Pro guard Zack Martin retiring
  4. Eagles acquire Alexander from Ravens
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