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What Happens If the Guardians Win or Lose vs. Rays Today? 2026 ALCS Game 4 Scenarios

Posted on October 17, 2026 by Santiago Leon

The Cleveland Guardians face the Tampa Bay Rays in Game 4 of the 2026 American League Championship Series (ALCS) on Saturday, October 17, with major World Series implications for both teams.

Cleveland currently leads the best-of-seven series 2-1, following a 3-2 victory in Game 3. Game 4 was originally scheduled for Friday but was postponed because of rain.

What Happens If the Guardians Win Game 4?

If Cleveland defeats Tampa Bay tonight:

  • The Guardians take a commanding 3-1 series lead.
  • Cleveland moves within one victory of advancing to the 2026 World Series.
  • The Guardians can clinch the American League pennant in Game 5 on Sunday, October 18.
  • The Rays would need to win three consecutive games to avoid elimination and reach the World Series.

Cleveland would have three opportunities to secure its fourth victory.

What Happens If the Guardians Lose Game 4?

If Tampa Bay defeats Cleveland tonight:

  • The ALCS becomes tied 2-2.
  • Game 5 becomes a pivotal matchup, with the winner taking a 3-2 series lead.
  • Neither team can clinch the ALCS in Game 5.
  • The series would be guaranteed to reach Game 6 on Monday, October 19.
  • Cleveland would need to win two of the remaining three games to advance.

ALCS Game 4 Scenarios

Game 4 Outcome Series Standing Implications
Guardians win Cleveland leads 3-1 Guardians one win from World Series
Guardians lose Series tied 2-2 At least six games required

When Is Guardians vs. Rays Game 4?

  • Date: Saturday, October 17, 2026
  • Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
  • Location: Progressive Field, Cleveland
  • TV: TBS, truTV, UniMás
  • Streaming: HBO Max
  • Pitching Matchup: Nick Martinez (Rays) vs. Shawn Armstrong (Guardians)

Who Will the ALCS Winner Face in the World Series?

The winner of the Guardians-Rays series will face the Milwaukee Brewers in the 2026 World Series.

Milwaukee has already secured the National League pennant after sweeping the Los Angeles Dodgers in the NLCS.

Bottom Line

If the Guardians win tonight, they will lead the ALCS 3-1 and have a chance to clinch their World Series berth on Sunday.

If the Guardians lose, the series will be tied 2-2, guaranteeing at least two additional games.

Neither team can advance to the World Series with a Game 4 victory alone.

Related

Related posts:

  1. Angels release Albert Pujols in final season of 10-year contract – CBS Sports
  2. Astros’ Bryan Abreu appeals 2-game suspension
  3. Guardians advance to ALCS after thrilling win over Tigers 7-3
  4. Yankees acquiring Camilo Doval from Giants

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